Saturday, May 31, 2008

If talk is cheap, let’s start there! Coping with energy crisis


Ancient railroad remnants still adorn Austin’s downtown streets. This one, on 4th Street, between the Convention Center and the Downtown Austin Hilton, may someday carry commuting passengers.

Skyrocketing energy prices make transportation the weakest link in our economy. We still generate most of our electricity from domestic fuels but we import over 60% of our motor fuels – gasoline and diesel (mainly in the form of petroleum). The costs of home insulation, weather-stripping, and Energy Star appliances pale in comparison to changing the ways we travel and transport goods. Expensive energy in transportation systems that depend on petroleum fuels will isolate communities lacking convenient rail service. Electric trains can use home-grown solar and wind power and thereby reduce imports while enhancing national security. Cheap motor fuels over the past 75 years or so convinced most Americans to abandon trains and trolleys in preference for cars and trucks. Now we need them back.

Most changes in government and society happen incrementally. The likelihood of seeing a comprehensive transportation plan for Texas, other than the highway plans that no longer make sense in today’s energy situation, seems laughably remote. Instead of waiting for that, I propose starting a conversation about a relatively manageable corridor – between Austin and Houston. The historic railroad corridor roughly approximates the US Highway 290 corridor.

The counties along the way include: Travis, Bastrop, Lee, Fayette, Washington, Waller, and Harris. Cities and towns include: Austin, Manor, Elgin, McDade, Paige, Giddings, Ledbetter, Carmine, Burton, Brenham, Chappell Hill, Hempstead, Prairie View, Waller, Hockley, Cypress, Jersey Village, Hilshire Village, and Houston. A revived rail service in this corridor should provide local as well as express schedules. A high-speed train between Houston and Austin makes no sense if it offers no benefit to the communities and farms along the route.

Prior to about 1980, a Union Pacific (UP) railroad track connected these places – probably just freight service by that late date. Built as the Houston and Texas Central Railroad, this line gave the town of Giddings a reason to exist in 1871 long before highways came through. The town of Burton, in Washington County, still maintains its 1898 Houston and Texas Central Railroad Station. After 1980, UP abandoned a large segment of the line, between Austin and Hempstead. Capital METRO now owns the tracks between Austin and Giddings, they do not presently provide passenger service. Houston METRO has proposed for some time a commuter line along the segment from Houston to Hempstead. North-south rail lines run through Giddings and Brenham, but the direct rail route from Houston to Austin no longer exists.

Texas Department of Transportation (TXDoT) supposedly acquired the remainder of the abandoned rail right-of-way and plans to build highway lanes on it. Building new highway lanes in this time and place seems gravely unwise. With gasoline headed inexorably toward $4 per gallon – and beyond, restoration of train service seems the more prudent choice. These agriculturally-based communities might rise in importance to the larger cities at either end of this corridor as the cost of motor fuels increases and the cost of importing food from farther away becomes less economical.


Railroads delivered goods to downtown Austin in a bygone era. Austin’s “warehouse district” would not have come into existence without them.

In an era of increasingly expensive fossil fuels, affordable transportation will become a key economic development enabler. Rural areas and small towns linked by trains – particularly electric trains – to the major cities will more easily maintain social and economic ties to the regional economy. Places lacking affordable transportation and links to major economic centers will suffer from isolation and economic atrophy. The major cities will grow increasingly dependent on the hinterlands in their immediate vicinity as it becomes prohibitively expensive to import food from the other side of the planet. Electric trains will become an economic necessity to connect farmers to markets as fossil fuels, and especially liquid motor fuels, become unaffordable or unavailable.

These rural communities cannot afford to wait for a grand plan from the state or federal government to rescue them. These communities must form a coalition, organize their resources, create their own plans, and present their proposals for funding – if not by the state or federal government, then by whatever means necessary. Absent leadership from higher up, communities must help each other to address the unfolding recession, energy crisis, and food crisis. Others may join later, but the most obvious coalition I can think of would include communities in the corridor, urban transit authorities, railroad companies, agricultural producers, distributors, and land owners in the corridor.

The coalition needs to identify and agree upon their goals, inventory their resources, and assess gaps that might cause problems. Some management advisers call this process a SWOT analysis – strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats. As an example of an opportunity: Houston’s port makes it a special destination as a liaison to other coastal ports of the world. As an example of a threat: food and energy prices have doubled in the past few years and could do so again. Connecting corridor communities to the Port of Houston could become crucial for transporting food and other commercial goods as well as passengers. Travel by boat, where available, remains more energy efficient than other modes (i.e.: aircraft). Recent airline problems offer a preview of coming distractions as air travel and air freight become increasingly unaffordable.

A SWOT analysis for this complex geographic region must involve a large number of concerned people and assure them that their opinions and participation matter to the outcome. Many communities have successfully used the charette process to solicit data and opinions from large groups of interested persons. Imagine a conference, a workshop, and an opinion poll wrapped up together. The charette yields a set of resource documents that the involved jurisdictions can use to guide their planning activities. The American Institute of Architects offers its Regional and Urban Design Assistance Team process to communities eager to make fundamental changes in a rational, public manner. Members of the American Planning Association, the School of Planning at the University of Texas, the Public Policy program at the LBJ School of Public Affairs, or the Envision Central Texas group could probably provide thoroughly useful advice and facilitation for a charette process focused on the corridor between Austin and Houston.

One familiar with some of the characters and institutions mentioned above might balk at trying to gather them into one room for a brainstorm. However, I have heard numerous anecdotes over the years describing facilitated negotiations involving presumed irreconcilable adversaries. Magical things can and do happen when a talented, determined facilitator works with a group of people who learn that their safety, security, and survival might depend on their ability to cooperate with each other.

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Monday, May 26, 2008

America falling down


Who would have ever thought that things could fall apart so quickly? We still think of ourselves as the richest nation on Earth, but the productive bases of our wealth have left our shores. Symptoms of crisis and social disintegration feature prominently in the headlines: mortgage meltdown, airline cutbacks and consolidations, trucking bankruptcies, skyrocketing food and energy prices, recession, stagflation, and farmers unable to feed the hungry masses. We led a charmed existence here in America before. Now we can't even recover properly from a hurricane.

We became so comfortably complacent that we forgot what to do about corrupt political leaders. No one could believe that our national leaders would do anything terribly wrong. Then a biased Supreme Court invalidated a national election and fear of “terrorism” enabled a cabal of war profiteers to hijack our Constitution – “Just a piece of paper.” Our futile war protests, environmental protests, food safety and security, health care, affordable housing, alternative and clean energy, blah, blah, blah… accomplished nothing. Bleeding heart liberals like me write letters, gnash our teeth, and tear our hair but we hardly compel action. The rich and powerful don’t listen to us – they don’t have to. We behave so terribly politely and obediently, most of the time. Street protests and marches before the Iraqi invasion apparently struck someone as sufficiently alarming to call out SWAT Teams here in Austin and to commandeer CAPMETRO buses for the purpose of sequestering unruly mobs. I did not see anyone actually detained or crammed into a bus but I did see armored riot police and queues of METRO buses at the ready. Throngs of people showed up to protest unfair treatment of immigrants, making the war protests seem insignificant and unpopular in comparison.

The very presence of riot police at the anti-war rallies tells me that we probably intimidated someone. In reaction to our protest, the powers in charge upped the ante. As police do, they either impose or threaten overwhelming force to stop whatever behavior they find objectionable – never mind that no one in the anti-war crowd looked the least bit dangerous or out of control. None of us cared to place our personal freedom on the line and risk going to jail or risk getting roughed up by unpredictable cops. Hundreds of us protested here in Austin – perhaps thousands. Worldwide, millions protested – the most widespread anti-war protests in history – all for nothing. Our national leaders proved deaf. Once the shooting started, the protesting ceased. “Support the troops,” they said. They don’t usually mention that we pay for more contractors than troops over there.

A bumper sticker on my car saying, “Attack Iraq: NO!” elicited hostility from anonymous vandals in parking lots and aggressive motorists on the freeway. I capitulated and took it off. An innocuous yard sign, “American for Peace,” did not last the night in my front yard. A sticker remains on my car saying, “If you aren’t completely appalled, you haven’t been baying attention.” Apparently, the hotheads either can’t read that fast in traffic or fail to understand the nuance in this message.

I grieve for my country. It rots from the inside. Every vitriolic diatribe Mr. Bush issues to show his hatred of Bin Laden could just as easily apply to him. e.g.: a man of privilege who uses deception and violent means against innocent civilians to accomplish his goals. (I paraphrase poorly, but the irony occurred on numerous occasions.) As we bludgeon impoverished nations into submission, we lose our soul. The U.S. has become the Nexus of Evil in the eyes of most of the world. Our “elected” leaders no longer represent our best interests. Nobel laureates characterize Mr. Bush as “the worst U.S. president in history.” Our opposition party in Congress, in the person of Nancy Pelosi, consciously decided not to pursue impeachment of Bush & Cheney – even after the people voted to replace the Republican majority with a Democratic one. Even though the administration led us into a war under false pretenses. Even though the Dark Lord, VP still earns royalties from the biggest contractor that we hire in Iraq, Halliburton. The Democratically-controlled Congress continues to fund a war that most of us apparently do not want. They do not represent the will of the people.

What happened to my country? The leaders betray us. War profiteers prey on public fears of faceless, godless terrorists. Super wealthy men dictate the direction our country goes. Plutocrats export jobs and production overseas to docile labor forces. Pay cuts, falling living standards here render our citizenry ever more compliant, fearful, and loyal to warlords in business suits.

As we lunge headlong into climate chaos and the peak of world oil production, anarchy at home and abroad may well upset the current political and economic order. Perhaps these present crises represent gifts from God to unseat the powerfully unjust tyrants.

Standing in their own separate space, yet intruding persistently like a Greek chorus, Spam (“stuff” posing as mail) floods my e-mail. Cures for impotence, sexual enhancements, cheaper drugs, replica watches, and countless come-ons for obscene and ridiculous products and schemes appear daily for my personal consternation. If these perpetrators actually make money with these bogus solicitations, Americans have really fallen off the wagon. It seems after all that our impotence lies not between our legs but in our hearts and minds. Empty promises of prosperity, false sense of security, and idolatrous belief in our own technological and moral superiority have rendered us a nation of pathetic, hapless victims of circumstance and egomaniacs. Self-aggrandizing tyrants have hijacked our republic in order to enrich themselves – the people and the environment be damned!

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Wednesday, May 21, 2008

Witnesses dictate the questions – Oil executives visit Congress… again

The man with the hammer sees every problem as a nail. The U.S. Senate Judiciary Committee interrogated major oil company executives today while the price of crude oil surged up $4.19 to close at $133.17 on NYMEX. The senators seem to think brow beating these plutocrats will accomplish something – lower energy prices? Nah. The CNN report makes it look like a show trial contrived to convince the public that the Senate shares the public’s indignation and intends to do something about it. So there!

Robert Malone, of BP America, at least mentioned the need for conservation – after increasing supplies and renewables. Heaven forbid anyone should suggest that Americans still waste gasoline with abandon and fail to recognize the need to change behavior. We still cherish our big cars, long commutes, acres of manicured lawns, gasoline-powered mowers, edgers, chainsaws, and blowers. Parents drive their children to school in cars with 2 TVs glowing in the back seat. Lots of Texans drive alone to work in huge, spotlessly clean pickup trucks – even though they don’t need a truck for their jobs. Tens of thousands of Texans live too far from work to even use public transportation. They want to live out in the country while still working in the city. James Kunstler calls this “a cartoon of country living.” It seems that the lessons of the 1970s’ energy crises made absolutely no impression on them.

In the hearing, Shell’s John Hofmeister seems to blame the high prices on government restrictions to drilling locations. Oil executives want access to more oil drilling sites so they can make even more extravagant profits. They want fewer restrictions on refining – those pesky environmental rules, do doubt – and reduced taxes. They focus mostly on finding new resources of oil. No one breathes a word about the peak of oil production.

One could hardly expect U.S. senators grilling oil executives to broach the subjects of conservation, expansion of public transportation, electric trains, or anything else that would give consumers options for reducing petroleum consumption without sacrificing quality of life. They seemed to willfully avoid the alternative that dare not speak its name – electric trains powered by wind and solar generation.

Instead of senators interrogating oil executives, perhaps AMTRAK, transit authority officials, and mass transit riders should interrogate congress members about why they refuse to properly fund viable mass transit systems across the nation.

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Sunday, May 18, 2008

Texas Tornado = landscape opportunity


Either straight-line winds or tornado, the weather service did not say, knocked down numerous trees and damaged a few windows in the Texas Capitol Rotunda on Wednesday night, 5/14-15/2008. The no-longer stately oak lying on the ground in front of the capitol in this picture represents a dozen or so previously esteemed residents that suffered the ignominious fate of getting cut into little pieces and carted away. At least one novelty mini-mill operates just south of Austin and probably would have loved to do the honors of salvaging the timber, but the contractors who scalp turf and prune trees on the capitol grounds cannot bother themselves with such details as salvaging mature trees for such extravagant uses as lumber -- or even mulch. These trees will more than likely go to the dump.


Privatization may save money in the narrowest sense of short-sighted bookkeeping; however, the privately-owned contractors use ill-educated labor and care little or nothing about aesthetics. The riding lawn mowers hot-rod across the lawn at 20-25mph and do so weekly during the warm season -- at least March-October. I suspect that the heavy equipment and indelicate practices may have predisposed many trees to uprooting in high winds. Numerous plaques around the grounds document the ponds and greenhouses that used to grace the capitol grounds in the old days. Alas, contractors cannot maintain these extravagances. Neither do they bother with the simple task of replacing trees lost to storms or disease. The capitol tree canopy keeps thinning.


They won't ask me, so I'll just say it here. Full-time gardeners could make our capitol grounds a work of art that would attract tourists for its own beauty. Full-time capitol gardeners would pay for themselves many times over by way of increased tourism traffic. As fuel costs increase, perhaps turf will lose its stranglehold on landscape fashions and hand-tended gardens will return. In addition to more carefully tended trees and flower beds, I would love to see pergolas over walkways covered with blooming vines. Roses would look nice, but I would not stop there.



This "sombreuil" rose requires some maintenance, but rewards me with lovely blossoms and heavenly perfume in my garden in South Austin. Contractors will simply not perform the kind of painstaking maintenance required to keep these charming specimens looking good.

Numerous vines would look stunningly beautiful on pergolas or arbors while shading pedestrians. Several different trumpet vines (Bignonia family) thrive here in Central Texas.



I grow the native, wild orange trumpet vine, Campsis radicans, in my garden, it gets a bad rap for its aggressive behavior, but it withstands our beastly summer heat, looks spectacular, and attracts hummingbirds.


The pink trumpet, Podranea ricasoliana, also does well here and provides a marvelous show from late summer through first frost.


The less common violet Argentine trumpet vine, Clytostoma callistigioides, remains evergreen through our winters here and rewards us in the spring with beautiful flowers.



As many avid butterfly fans can attest, several wonderful passion vines grow in Austin and would fascinate visitors and capitol complex workers alike.

I could go on and on, but time runs short and bed time beckons.


Perhaps I shall introduce other favorites later. I did not even mention all the thorny trees that should appear on the capitol grounds because they belong to this state and play such important roles in our state's ecosystems -- despite their prickly tendencies.


As I mentioned before, none of this will happen as long as the governor and legislature insist on "privatizing" the grounds maintenance. Only a permanent gardening staff would take the time and exhibit the concern and aesthetic sensibilities necessary to tend a truly beautiful collection of plants worthy of the showcase that our capitol ground should embody.

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Austin transit, mobility, and accountability

Editor, Arnold Garcia criticizes Austin Government like an innocent bystander (5/18/08). However, he fails to acknowledge his newspaper’s role in our municipal snafus. Practically every time light rail transit surfaces in our local news, the Austin American-Statesman fabricates some ploy to smear it. The editors disingenuously claim not to oppose light rail “in principle” but their transportation critic, Ben Wear, doggedly attacks it and CAPMETRO at every opportunity. Kirk Watson (state senator), Will Wynn (mayor), and CAMPO (metro planning authority) disappointed me too by missing one more opportunity to start building an electric transit system in Austin, but the Statesman has aided and abetted rail opponents for years and set the stage for the most recent bureaucratic paralysis.

As the nation slides into recession, triggered by the home mortgage debacle, and as vehicle sales look increasingly desperate, the Statesman’s two biggest gravy trains may derail. Suburban homes and gasoline-powered cars look increasingly less attractive as energy prices spiral upward. AAS advertising for home builders, real estate, and car dealers routinely outweighs the "news."

Instead of sniping at CAPMETRO, TXDoT, and City Hall, the Statesman could sponsor public forums – similar to Envision Central Texas workshops – to engage the public and generate credible solutions. Instead of perpetuating our victimhood, the Statesman should facilitate progress toward a sustainable future.

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Monday, May 12, 2008

Fuel cost effects on transportation

A request to contemplate fuel cost effects on transportation
To: Texas Senate Transportation & Homeland Security Committee
Senator John Carona, Chair

During the interim study period, please consider the following matters:

Study the trends in prices and availability of motor fuels.

Study the effects of fuel prices and the possibility of supply interruptions on the transportation network, cost of transportation, reduction in mobility, cost of food delivery, effects on food security. Recognize that every increase in fuel prices causes some segment of the population to change their behavior. No single price threshold will cause everything to change suddenly. Everyone changes their behavior at a different price and not everyone will make the same change. Some people will drive less, some will change vehicles, some will buy less of other goods – some of those other goods will include food, medicine, and clothing. How do higher fuel costs affect affordability of food, other goods, and passenger transportation?

Study the feasibility of transferring major portions of freight and passenger service from highways and airports to railroad modes for most trips longer than 100 miles and most trips between major population centers. Keep in mind that even small towns between large cities need access and rural areas ship farm produce to the cities. People and goods can travel more fuel efficiently by train than by automobile, truck, or aircraft. Trains can run on electricity instead of petroleum products. As motor fuels become more expensive, a growing portion of the population will become unable to afford travel. Transportation costs will drive up the costs of food and all other goods that must travel from producers to consumers.

Study the feasibility of improving train service to ensure mobility, affordability, and reliability of both passenger and commercial freight services. All too often, cost benefit analyses comparing highways to trains fail to consider the entire situation. The cost of a train system should count everything, including property, tracks, stations, other ancillary equipment, rolling stock, and operating costs. Highway analyses should also count everything; including property, road construction, maintenance, and the costs of owning and operating all the vehicles that travel on it. Ignoring the costs of the vehicles that travel on highways, their maintenance, operating costs, and liabilities invalidates the comparison between the two modes of transport.

Railroad links of interest to Texans:
http://www.senate.state.tx.us/75r/senate/commit/c640/c640.htm
http://www.lightrailnow.org/
http://asarail.org/
http://www.texasrailadvocates.org/
http://www.dot.state.tx.us/services/transportation_planning_and_programming/rail_plan.htm
http://cs.trains.com/forums/2/1413303/ShowPost.aspx
http://www.justtransportation.org/

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Wednesday, May 7, 2008

Affordable Housing Crisis -- It takes a village


Americans in general, and Texans in particular, live far apart. Not only do long distances separate our cities, most Texans live in detached housing. We live so far apart that public transportation cannot economically serve most people in most places. We live so far apart that the rising price of petrol discourages us from participating in many aspects of public life that require driving a car.

More and more people find that the “American way of life” does not serve them well. Apartment dwellers, who share walls with neighbors, enjoy less exposure to outdoor cold in winter and heat in summer – compared to those dwelling in detached housing. Unfortunately, most of us live in detached housing. Low-income people typically live in older, leakier houses, and many live in mobile homes, which leak even more than others. Many a low-income person lives in a mobile home in a rural area – and does not farm or otherwise derive a living from the surrounding land. Not unusually, the elderly or disabled occupant or single parent cannot afford to weatherize the home, cannot afford to repair roof leaks, cannot afford to replace the ancient air conditioner or patch the duct work, and cannot afford to pay the $500 electric bill in the peak summer months. Federally-funded public assistance programs will pay for weatherization, repair or replacement of the air conditioner, heater, and sometimes other appliances. These programs reach less than 10% of the eligible population. A sizeable portion of the population cannot afford these repairs either but makes too much money to qualify for public assistance. Federal assistance tends not to pay to relocate the household occupants to a town or city, closer to work, shopping, or social services. The ocean of need continues to grow.

Households with average incomes and higher rarely spend more than 5% of their incomes on home energy. For lower income families, energy often constitutes the largest single household expense after food and shelter. Utilities often consume upwards of 17% of lower-income annual gross incomes and account for nearly one-fourth of total housing costs. Between 2003 and 2007, the average benefit amount for home energy assistance in Texas increased an average of 16%, from $359 in 2003 to $598 in 2007. That trend could increase the 2008 average household benefit amount to more than $700. An increase in the expense per household effectively decreases the number of households assisted. The block grants do not keep up with price increases. Therefore, the number of households assisted will likely decline.

Texas residential electricity prices rose an estimated 31 percent after the 2005 hurricanes, Katrina and Rita, and another 36 percent in 2006. As a preferred fuel for generating electricity, the price of natural gas directly affects the price of electricity. Moderating natural gas prices in 2007 probably deserve most of the credit for a 9-10 percent decrease in residential electricity prices. Nevertheless, something else again happened in the first 4 months of 2008. Natural gas prices increased by approximately 65% to about $11 per 1,000 cubic feet (mcf) – between December 2007 and April 2008. The recent surge in natural gas prices occurred too recently to show up in Public Utility Commission reports on electric rates. Since 2000, when the U.S. became a net importer of natural gas, world prices for LNG began influencing U.S. natural gas prices. Because Asians and Europeans pay upwards of $40/mcf for imported natural gas (in the form of re-gasified LNG), it seems safe to assume that prices in the U.S. will follow suit.

Increasing transportation-related energy costs also burden household budgets. Between early 2003 and May 2008, gasoline prices increased over 180%. Between May 2007 and May 2008, gasoline increased 36% while crude oil (the source of gasoline) increased 100% in price. Refiners and marketers cannot continue to absorb the difference indefinitely. It seems safe to assume that gasoline prices will continue rising. Low-income households, forced by real estate prices to live far from work and shopping, endure high transportation costs that destroy any benefit from relatively low suburban or rural land costs. Transportation increasingly compromises a household’s ability to afford housing. Moving into towns and cities could potentially reduce their living expenses if they could overcome the hurdle of affordable housing.

Neither the federal nor state government seems inclined to take this problem seriously enough to actually solve it. Utopian vision exercises fell out of fashion some time ago. In the reform era of the 1890s, Louis Sullivan, of Chicago, admonished us to “Make no small plans, for they fail to capture the public imagination.” (paraphrase) Since Ronald Reagan told us that “the government is the problem,” it seems that our public sector leaders at all levels have lost the ability to think big, let alone make big plans. In an era of big problems, we must all begin thinking big and challenging our public officials to open up public discussions that will result in creation of big plans. If we fail to capture the public imagination, our nation will surely come unraveled.

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